Sunday, August 16, 2009

SHORT & MEDIUM TERM GLACIER FLUCTUATION

Linkage between General Climate & Glacier snout behaviour



Factors controlling glacier response over time

Relaxation/ response time – time interval between change of input & the achievement of new equilibrium

Amplification factor – small change in mass balance initiate large change at the glacier terminus

Specific mass balance characteristics – damp down minor climatic oscillations

Steady state situation – glacier remain at zero for many years & glacier dimension remains constant

Glacier Morphology

Response to climate

Distance between snout & accumulation Area – contributes to fluctuations due to climate
Narrow valley glacier – more time to respond than ice cap

On Land – Glacier Responds by expanding/ withdrawing snout
Extension – more surface area exposed to ablation
Fjord – difficulty in achieving equilibrium, continue to advance until spread out & increase cross sectional area exposed to melting & calving

Mass Balance Changes
Minor oscillations – direct response to annual climate oscillations
Major advances/ retreats – indirect/ lagged, significant long term changes

Direct response – short term mass balance change
Negative mass balance – reflected in 1 season
Positive mass balance change – may not be reflected by several seasons
Climatically induced snout retreats – more rapidly than climatically induced snout advances



High Accumulation, Low Ablation – interrupts retreat
Glacier Activity – influences velocity of kinematic waves
Very active Glaciers (Western Side of New Zealand) – responds directly to climatic oscillations
Sluggish glaciers (eastern side) – greater time lag

Compute response tie of Glaciers (e.g. Berendon Glacier in British Columbia by Nye)

Glacier Length
Height of Glacier Surface above mean sea level
Slope of surface
Mass Balance data

Mathematical models – Assumes
- Climatic fluctuations are small
- Any effects caused by changes in the quantity of melt water at the base can be ignored
- Changes in the temperature of ice (and thus the relation of stress to strain rate) can be ignored

Glacier mass balance change – measureable
Predictable

Surge behaviour

Surge – snout advance
Have a cycle of activity
Not climatically induced

Prolonged storage of surplus mass – until critical stage of instability or threshold reached

Attainment of critical stage is predictable

Wavelength & amplitude of surge cycle – shorter for small valley glaciers

Variations over days & weeks – related to ablation rates & meltwater discharge

Short-lived advances interrupting overall period of retreat – rapid responses to minor climatic oscillations
Little ice Age – 1500 -1920

Alpine climatic fluctuations from
Records of vineyards
Fruit growing, settlement history
Cereal growing, ease of ocean travel aspect of individual dated settlement sites

Vegetation studies – pollen analysis, lichenometry, studies of changing tree-line altitude------information on climatic fluctuation

Archaelogical & pedological investigation – information on recent climatic fluctuations

Technique – radio – carbon dating

Indicator of severity of Icelandic climate – sea ice off Icelandic coasts

Radiometric dating, palynology, dendrochronology….lichnometric technique

Prediction of glacier Behaviour – numerical model experiments of Climap Project, NCAR project

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